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甬江数学讲坛(2019年第20讲)
2019-06-11 16:43     (点击:)

报告题目: Stochastic Stackelberg differential reinsurance game: A new paradigm of optimal reinsurance

报告人:Yang Shen, 加拿大约克大学博彩导航 ,教授

报告时间:2019年6月18日(星期二),14:00—15:30

报告地点:龙赛理科楼,博彩导航 311

报告摘要: In this talk, we propose a new continuous-time framework to analyze optimal reinsurance, in which an insurer and a reinsurer are two players of a stochastic Stackelberg differential game, i.e., a stochastic leader-follower differential game. This allows us to determine optimal reinsurance from joint interests of the insurer and the reinsurer, which is rarely considered in a continuous-time setting. In the Stackelberg game, the reinsurer moves first and the insurer moves subsequently to achieve a Stackelberg equilibrium towards optimal reinsurance arrangement. Speaking precisely, the reinsurer is the leader of the game and decides on optimal reinsurance premium to charge, while the insurer is the follower of the game and chooses optimal reinsurance to purchase. We solve the game problem in two cases: exponential utility maximization and mean-variance optimization. Under the utility maximization framework, we find that the reinsurer always applies the variance premium principle to calculate the optimal reinsurance premium and the insurer's optimal ceding/retained proportion of insurance risk depends not only on the risk aversion of itself but also on that of the reinsurer. Under the mean-variance framework, if the reinsurer adopts the variance premium principle (resp. expected value premium principle), the Stackelberg equilibrium is attained when the insurer purchases the proportional reinsurance (resp. excess-of-loss reinsurance). If time permits, for the variance premium principle and proportional reinsurance we further discuss the Stackelberg equilibrium of a reinsurance market with multiple (re)insurers.

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